“Despite ongoing uncertainty surrounding global trade tensions and geopolitical events, investors are eagerly eyeing the tech sector as it continues to drive the market’s upward momentum, with key earnings reports and product launches expected to make waves in the week ahead.”
In the upcoming week, there are several key events and releases that will be closely watched by investors and market participants. Here’s a brief overview of what to expect:
On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep its rates unchanged at -0.10% and maintain its yield curve control policy. There is speculation about a tweak to the policy, and the central bank is also expected to raise its inflation forecasts.
Also on Tuesday, the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year is expected to fall to 3.2% from 4.3% previously, while the Core CPI is expected to be at 4.2% compared to 4.5% previously. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to remain on hold for now, with rate cuts expected in mid-2024.
On Wednesday, the US ADP employment report will be released, which has a poor track record in forecasting the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. However, it is still a market-moving report, and the consensus expects 150,000 jobs to be added in October.
Also on Wednesday, the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is expected to remain unchanged at 49.0. The recent S&P Global Manufacturing PMI beat expectations, indicating a rebound in the sector.
The US Job Openings report will also be released on Wednesday, with expectations of a decline to 9.270 million from 9.610 million previously. This report has been closely watched as the labor market data is now a top priority for the market.
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its policy decision. The market expects the Fed to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50% and will focus on guidance for the December meeting. The meeting is expected to be uneventful.
On Thursday, the Swiss Consumer Price Index year-on-year is expected to be at 1.8% compared to 1.7% previously. The inflation in Switzerland has been within the Swiss National Bank’s target range for some time.
Also on Thursday, the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to keep its bank rate unchanged at 5.25%. The decision is expected to be a close one, as hawks may not like the recent CPI report, while doves may see the softness in the labor market as a reason to keep rates steady.
The US Jobless Claims report will be released on Thursday, with expectations of 210,000 initial claims and 1,795,000 continuing claims. Last week’s report missed expectations, indicating a trend of workers finding it harder to get a job after being laid off.
Finally, on Friday, the US non-farm payrolls report will be released, with expectations of 172,000 jobs added in October. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.8%. The report will also include average hourly earnings data.
Overall, it will be an important week for economic data and central bank decisions. Market participants will be closely watching these releases for clues about the state of the global economy and the direction of monetary policy.
