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The Week Ahead: Inflation Data, Apple Event, and More


The latest inflation data will be this week’s main event, coming right before the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Several investor days, an Apple iPhone-unveiling event, and a European Central Bank interest-rate decision will be other highlights.

Company Updates

  • Oracle releases its latest quarterly results on Monday.
  • Adobe, Copart, and Lennar report on Thursday.
  • Moderna hosts an investor day on Tuesday.
  • Bristol Myers Squibb, Brown & Brown, Ecolab, and Lab Corp. will all speak with investors on Thursday.

Apple Event

Apple is hosting a product event on Tuesday, at which it is expected to announce its iPhone 15 and other hardware.

Inflation Data

The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the consumer price index for August on Wednesday morning. Economist consensus calls for a 3.6% year-over-year increase in the headline index and a 4.4% rise in the core CPI, which excludes food and energy components. On Thursday, the BLS will release the producer price index for August.

European Central Bank Decision

The European Central Bank will announce a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures pricing is in favor of no change in interest rates.

Other Economic Data

Other economic data out this week will include the National Federation of Independent Business’ Small Business Optimism Index for August on Tuesday, the Census Bureau’s retail sales data for August on Thursday, and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment index for September on Friday.

Calendar of Events

Monday 9/11

Oracle reports first-quarter fiscal 2024 results.

Tuesday 9/12

Apple holds a press event at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to announce details about the iPhone 15 as well as new Apple Watch models.

The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for August. The consensus call is for a 91.3 reading, slightly less than the July figure.

Wednesday 9/13

Moderna hosts its 2023 R&D Day.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for August. Economists forecast a 3.6% year-over-year increase, four-tenths of a percentage point more than in July. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.4% following a 4.7% gain previously. The CPI is nearly six percentage points lower than its peak of 9.1% reached in June of 2022.

Thursday 9/14

Adobe, Copart, and Lennar release earnings.

Brown & Brown, Ecolab, and Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings hold investor days.

Bristol Myers Squibb hosts its 2023 R&D Day.

The current contract between the United Auto Workers and the Big Three automakers expires at 11:59 p.m. Eastern. The UAW has authorized a strike if no contract is agreed upon by the deadline. The current contract covers nearly 150,000 workers.

The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a one in three chance that the central bank will raise its key short-term interest by a quarter of a percentage point to 4%. The ECB has raised its target rate from negative 0.5% to 3.75% in a little more than a year.

The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for August. Consensus estimate is for 0.2% increase month over month. Excluding autos, retail sales are seen rising 0.5%. This compares with gains of 0.7% and 1%, respectively, in July.

The BLS releases the producer price index for August. The PPI is expected to increase 1.4% year over year, while the core PPI is seen gaining 3%. They rose 0.8% and 2.4%, respectively, in July.

Friday 9/15

The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for September. Economists forecast a 69.4 reading, roughly even with the August data. In that month, consumers’ expectations for the year-ahead inflation was 3.5%.

Write to Nicholas Jasinski at [email protected]

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