Investing in Artificial Intelligence: Beyond Nvidia
Introduction
Blink and you might have missed Nvidia’s 200% gain this year. But there are still plenty of other opportunities for investors looking to cash in on artificial intelligence.
The Easy Money has Been Made
Shifts in interest rates and inflation aside, the greatest theme driving markets in 2023 has been the boom in enthusiasm for artificial-intelligence-exposed industries and firms. Nvidia stock (ticker: NVDA), now trading at 40 times sales, has tripled. If you were smart—or lucky—enough to have been along for the ride, then sell a third of your stake to take your cost basis off the table and play with house money. After all, the rally is showing signs of losing steam, or at least taking a break. Nvidia stock is down 4% since its blockbuster earnings report on Aug. 23, while the S&P 500 has added 1%.
Other AI Investment Opportunities
AI-curious investors can look elsewhere. There are always the hyperscale data centers companies, namely Amazon.com (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL). They’re the ones buying up as many of Nvidia’s chips as they can get their hands on to power various applications of AI. But those stocks haven’t been exactly sluggish lately either.
Microsoft—the relative slouch among the group, up only 41% this year—has a hand in both pots. In addition to its Azure cloud-computing business, offering the buzzily named “Artificial Intelligence as a Service,” the company is about to roll out Microsoft 365 Copilot, an AI assistant for Word, Excel, PowerPoint, Outlook, Teams, and other applications. Early user feedback has been very positive, Microsoft says.
The company plans to charge $30 a month for Copilot. Even if only 20% of the 160 million users of Office 365 E5—the top enterprise tier—choose to subscribe, the numbers quickly become meaningful for Microsoft, says Nick Frelinghuysen, a portfolio manager at Chilton Trust. That would already amount to $11.5 billion in annual revenue.
Shares of internet and software companies employing AI, such as Adobe (ABDE), ServiceNow (NOW), and Salesforce (CRM), have also soared. Instead, investors can look at pick-and-shovel opportunities. Frelinghuysen notes that an AI GPU server burns as much as seven times the electricity that a typical data-center server does. That means more demand for the electrical infrastructure that powers the massive buildings that house rows after rows of servers.
Unfortunately, some have been nearly as strong as Nvidia. Vertiv (VRT), which specializes in electrical equipment for data centers, has already rallied 180% this year. Eaton (ETN), a leader in power-management products that has gained 42% in 2023, might be a better bet, but only just.
Even farther afield, old-school companies can use the technology to become even more efficient. Think United Parcel Service (UPS) using AI to optimize routes and sort packages; Deere (DE) selling farmers subscriptions to predictive software that tells them when best to plant, water, or harvest based on local weather and other inputs; or UnitedHealth Group (UNH) using AI to process claims or improve diagnostics. Those AI applications promise to one day be transformative, but will take years to play out and show up in the numbers.
Conclusion
It’s time for a new theme. Investors can explore various opportunities beyond Nvidia to invest in artificial intelligence and capitalize on its potential.
Write to Nicholas Jasinski at [email protected]
