Bitcoin miners are entering a phase known as “capitulation,” where the cost of mining exceeds the value of the coins. This situation, tracked by the hash ribbon indicator, often signals a potential price reversal. Recently, Bitcoin analytics highlighted this capitulation phase, which may lead to a price increase similar to previous instances. The hash ribbon is seen as a reliable indicator of Market shifts, and experts believe that after this phase, there could be a recovery in Bitcoin prices. Some miners are even increasing their Bitcoin holdings, hinting at expectations of future price rises. While the Market remains unpredictable, analysts are cautiously optimistic about the potential for a bullish trend.
Bitcoin Miners Enter “Capitulation” Phase, Sparking Speculation of Price Reversal Below $100K
Bitcoin’s Market is currently showing signs of a significant shift as miners enter a phase known as “capitulation.” This term is used when Bitcoin miners face financial pressures, making it hard to continue mining profitably. Analysts are monitoring this closely, particularly using a tool called the hash ribbon indicator. This indicator is based on the moving averages of Bitcoin’s hashrate over 30 and 60 days. When the 30-day average falls below the 60-day average, it suggests that mining costs have surpassed the value of the Bitcoin being mined, triggering a capitulation event.
Recently, on February 10, 2025, Bitcoin analytics account Bitcoindata21 highlighted that the hash ribbon has signaled a potential turning point. They noted that this kind of signal often leads to upward price movements in Bitcoin. The last time the hash ribbon indicated capitulation, Bitcoin’s price soared from $73,800 to $108,000 within two months. Historically, these capitulation events have been followed by very strong price rallies for Bitcoin.
The hash ribbon is regarded as a vital tool for predicting Market reversals. The crossing of the 30-day moving average above the 60-day average signals the end of the capitulation phase, hinting that Bitcoin might be on the verge of a price recovery. This latest data from the hash ribbon suggests that miners could start recovering soon, raising hopes for a potential upward trend in Bitcoin’s value.
Crypto analyst Darkfost reinforced the reliability of the hash ribbon, mentioning that it has only failed once, during the COVID-19 Market shock. He pointed out that every time this indicator has flashed a signal, Bitcoin has rallied. Darkfost believes the hash ribbon has effectively indicated ideal times for entering the Market, whether for short-term gains or long-term investments.
Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, also commented on the behavior of miners in this phase. He observed that miners are currently increasing their Bitcoin holdings, which may reflect their expectation of a price rise in the future. Edwards stated that even though the present capitulation phase has just started, a future buy signal from the hash ribbon could change the Market sentiment significantly. While many events could unfold before the buy signal is confirmed, he believes we might be entering a “window of opportunity” for Bitcoin investors.
With the hash ribbon indicating miner capitulation, Bitcoin’s Market dynamics are under careful observation. The pattern of rebounds following these capitulation events has some analysts cautiously optimistic about a new bullish phase ahead. However, as always, Bitcoin’s Market remains highly volatile, and the next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether the anticipated price surge will indeed take place.
Tags: Bitcoin, Miner Capitulation, Hash Ribbon, Cryptocurrency Analysis, Price Predictions
What does it mean when Bitcoin miners enter a “capitulation” phase?
When Bitcoin miners enter a capitulation phase, it means they are giving up on mining or selling their coins due to heavy losses. This often happens when prices drop a lot, and miners can’t keep up with costs.
Why is there speculation about Bitcoin’s price going below $100,000?
Speculation about Bitcoin’s price going below $100,000 arises when many miners stop mining and sell their Bitcoin. This can create more selling pressure and raise concerns among investors, leading to predictions of a price drop.
What signs indicate that miners are capitulating?
Signs that miners may be capitulating include a significant drop in mining activity, a rise in the number of miners selling their Bitcoin, and decreased profitability in mining operations.
How does miners’ capitulation affect Bitcoin’s price?
When miners capitulate, they often sell their Bitcoin, which can flood the Market. This increase in supply can push prices down, causing further concern and sometimes a downturn in the entire Market.
Should investors be worried when miners capitulate?
While capitulation can lead to short-term price drops, it can also signal a Market bottom. Many investors watch these phases closely, as they may present opportunities to buy at lower prices. However, it’s important to do thorough research before making any investment decisions.