US bond yields rise amid profit-taking, while Indian yields hold steady as market anticipates further rate cuts from the Fed.

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US bond yields rise amid profit-taking, while Indian yields hold steady as market anticipates further rate cuts from the Fed.

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Indian government bond yields are expected to slightly increase in early trades as US Treasury yields rise. Despite a recent drop, the prevailing Market sentiment remains bullish due to ongoing expectations of another significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The benchmark 10-year yield is projected to fluctuate between 6.72% and 6.76%. Traders anticipate some initial profit booking but expect a recovery in buying momentum throughout the day. The Federal Reserve recently cut rates by 50 basis points and hinted at additional reductions next year. Meanwhile, the Indian government plans to announce its borrowing strategy for the upcoming months, aiming to raise 14.01 trillion rupees through bond sales this fiscal year.



Title: Indian Bond Yields Outshine US Bonds Amid Rate Cut Speculations

Image: India earnings yields now higher than US bonds

On September 26, 2024, Indian government bond yields are set to slightly increase after a recent decline, following an uptick in US Treasury yields. Traders are currently speculating on the potential for another significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which could influence Market dynamics.

The benchmark 10-year bond yield is projected to trade between 6.72% and 6.76%, slightly above its previous close of 6.7355%, the lowest level seen since February 2022. Market analysts suggest there may be initial profit booking at the day’s start, but they anticipate a bullish trend could emerge later, driven by positive Market sentiment.

Last week, the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 50 basis points, and markets are currently predicting a 60% chance of a further cut in the upcoming November meeting, with expectations for overall cuts nearing 77 basis points for 2024.

As the Indian government prepares to reveal its borrowing plans for the fiscal year’s second half, it aims to raise approximately 14.01 trillion rupees ($167.57 billion) through bond issuances. The upcoming sale will include 340 billion rupees of bonds, comprising five-year and 15-year maturities, as part of its ongoing Market strategy.

This convergence of macroeconomic factors places Indian earnings yields above those of US bonds, indicating a shift in investor focus and confidence domestically.

Last Updated: September 26, 2024, 10:24 AM IST

  1. What are bond yields?
    Bond yields are the returns investors earn on bonds. When bond prices go down, yields go up, and vice versa.

  2. Why are Indian bond yields falling?
    Indian bond yields may fall due to various reasons like changes in interest rates, government policies, or economic conditions.

  3. How are US bond yields affecting Indian bonds?
    If US bond yields rise, it can lead to higher yields in India as investors compare returns. This might cause Indian yields to reverse their recent fall.

  4. What does it mean if Indian bond yields rise?
    If Indian bond yields rise, it means the cost of borrowing money for the government and businesses might increase, which could affect economic growth.

  5. Should investors be worried about changing bond yields?
    Investors should keep an eye on bond yields as changes can impact their investments. It’s important to stay informed about Market trends and economic conditions.
US bond yields rise amid profit-taking, while Indian yields hold steady as market anticipates further rate cuts from the Fed.

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